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Analysis for people who sell things online.

Store platforms report revenue well and profit badly. The gap between the two is where most of the useful analysis lives.

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How do I work out which of my products actually make money?

Store platforms report revenue accurately and profit badly, because margin needs cost data the platform does not hold and shipping cost often sits in a third place. Work out contribution per unit after discounts, channel and payment fees, shipping and returns. The common result is a bestseller that loses money on every order and is invisible in every revenue chart.

01

Revenue is the number your platform is best at, and least useful

Every store dashboard shows revenue, because revenue is the one figure the platform holds completely. Margin needs cost data the platform does not have, and shipping cost is often in a third place entirely.

That is why the most common surprise in ecommerce analysis is a bestseller that loses money on every order — it is highly visible in the revenue chart and invisible in every margin chart, because there is no margin chart.

In the worked example, four bestsellers lost money per order once shipping was included, and 17% of products produced 81% of margin.

02

Repeat rate moves slowly and matters more than it looks

Growth from new customers and growth from returning customers look identical in a revenue chart and behave completely differently over a year. A store growing on new customers alone has to keep buying them.

The number to watch is what share of orders come from people who bought before, tracked monthly. It moves slowly enough that a single month tells you nothing and a six-month trend tells you a great deal.

03

Refunds concentrate, and concentration is the signal

A portfolio refund rate is nearly useless — it averages a fine product with a broken one. The useful version is refund rate by product, compared against the catalogue average, with the products that stand out named.

A product refunding at three times the average is usually a listing problem, a sizing problem or a quality problem, and which one it is can normally be read off the returns data itself.

04

What you need to upload

An orders export, a returns export if you have one, and a product cost sheet. The cost sheet is the piece most people do not have to hand and the piece that unlocks everything about profitability.

It does not need to be tidy. Merged cells, several tables on one sheet and four date formats are the normal case.

See it on a real project

Product A produced 68% of total growth while repeat purchasing fell from 31% to 24%.

What is making this store's growth less durable?

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